Kitabı oku: «Big Bang»
Big Bang
The Most Important Scientific Discovery of All Time and Why You Need to Know About it
Simon Singh
Copyright
Fourth Estate
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This edition published by Harper Perennial 2005
First published by Fourth Estate 2004
Copyright © Simon Singh 2004
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except‘The Missing Pages’ by Simon Singh © Simon Singh 2005
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From the Reviews of Big Bang
‘Singh is a very gifted storyteller who never misses the chance to make his subject clearer or more entertaining’
SCARLETT THOMAS, Independent on Sunday
‘This very well-written book conveys the ideas underpinning cosmological theory with great clarity’
Nature
‘Singh uses beautifully simple analogies and clearly explained dia grams to enable even the most mathematically hobbled of us to recapitulate the history of man’s intellectual engagement with the dark spaces around him’
Sunday Telegraph
‘If you are intrigued by the story but wary of mathematics, do not worry; Simon Singh spares us most of the maths, and he juggles big ideas with tact and care’
Daily Mail
A model of clarity’
Economist
‘Singh tells his tale well, with chatty anecdotes leavening the astro physics’
Guardian
‘An epic tale brilliantly told, packed with courage and tragedy, heroes and martyrs’
Daily Telegraph
‘Even if the cosmologists don’t know where the universe is going, at least they have found out where it has come from. Anybody who wants to understand this wonderful achievement will not do better than start with Singh’s book’
Mail on Sunday
‘An excellent introduction to the way modern science works’
The Times Higher Education Supplement
Dedication
This book would not have been possible without Carl Sagan, James Burke, Magnus Pyke, Heinz Wolff, Patrick Moore, Johnny Ball, Rob Buckman, Miriam Stoppard, Raymond Baxter, and all the science TV producers and directors who inspired my interest in science.
Epigraph
Place three grains of sand inside a vast cathedral, and the cathedral will be more closely packed with sand than space is with stars.
JAMES JEANS
The effort to understand the universe is one of the very few things that lifts human life a little above the level of farce, and gives it some of the grace of tragedy.
STEVEN WEINBERG
In science one tries to tell people, in such a way as to be understood by everyone, something that no one ever knew before. But in poetry, it’s the exact opposite.
PAUL DIRAC
The most incomprehensible thing about the universe is that it is comprehensible.
ALBERT EINSTEIN
Table of Contents
Cover
Title Page
Copyright
From the Reviews of Big Bang
Dedication
Epigraph
Chapter 1 IN THE BEGINNING
Chapter 2 THEORIES OF THE UNIVERSE
Chapter 3 THE GREAT DEBATE
Chapter 4 MAVERICKS OF THE COSMOS
Chapter 5 THE PARADIGM SHIFT
Epilogue
Keep Reading
What is Science?
Glossary
Further Reading
Index
P.S.
About the Author
About the Book
Read on
Acknowledgements
About the Author
Also by the Author
About the Publisher
Chapter 1 IN THE BEGINNING
Science must begin with myths, and with the criticism of myths.
KARL POPPER
I do not feel obliged to believe that the same God who has endowed us with sense, reason and intellect has intended us to forgo their use.
GALILEO GALILEI
Living on Earth may be expensive, but it includes an annual free trip around the Sun.
ANONYMOUS
Physics is not a religion. If it were, we’d have a much easier time raising money.
LEON LEDERMAN
Our universe is dotted ‘with over 100 billion galaxies, and each one contains roughly 100 billion stars. It is unclear how many planets are orbiting these stars, but it is certain that at least one of them has evolved life. In particular, there is a life form that has had the capacity and audacity to speculate about the origin of this vast universe.
Humans have been staring up into space for thousands of generations, but we are privileged to be part of the first generation who can claim to have a respectable, rational and coherent description for the creation and evolution of the universe. The Big Bang model offers an elegant explanation of the origin of everything we see in the night sky, making it one of the greatest achievements of the human intellect and spirit. It is the consequence of an insatiable curiosity, a fabulous imagination, acute observation and ruthless logic.
Even more wonderful is that the Big Bang model can be understood by everyone. When I first learned about the Big Bang as a teenager, I was astonished by its simplicity and beauty, and by the fact that it was built on principles which, to a very large extent, did not go beyond the physics I was already learning at school. Just as Charles Darwin’s theory of natural selection is both fundamental and comprehensible to most intelligent people, the Big Bang model can be explained in terms that will make sense to non-specialists, without having to water down the key concepts within the theory.
But before encountering the earliest stirrings of the Big Bang model, it is necessary to lay some groundwork. The Big Bang model of the universe was developed over the last hundred years, and this was only possible because twentieth-century breakthroughs were built upon a foundation of astronomy constructed in previous centuries. In turn, these theories and observations of the sky were set within a scientific framework that had been assiduously crafted over two millennia. Going back even further, the scientific method as a path to objective truth about the material world could start to blossom only when the role of myths and folklore had begun to decline. All in all, the roots of the Big Bang model and the desire for a scientific theory of the universe can be traced right back to the decline of the ancient mythological view of the world.
From Giant Creators to Greek Philosophers
According to a Chinese creation myth that dates to 600 BC, Phan Ku the Giant Creator emerged from an egg and proceeded to create the world by using a chisel to carve valleys and mountains from the landscape. Next, he set the Sun, Moon and stars in the sky; he died as soon as these tasks were finished. The death of the Giant Creator was an essential part of the creation process, because fragments of his own body helped to complete the world. Phan Ku’s skull formed the dome of sky, his flesh formed the soil, his bones became rocks and his blood created rivers and seas. The last of his breath forged the wind and clouds, while his sweat became rain. His hair fell to Earth, creating plant life, and the fleas that had lodged in his hair provided the basis for the human race. As our birth required the death of our creator, we were to be cursed with sorrow forever after.
In contrast, in the Icelandic epic myth Prose Edda creation started not with an egg, but within the Yawning Gap. This void separated the contrasting realms of Muspell and Niflheim, until one day the fiery, bright heat of Muspell melted the freezing snow and ice of Niflheim, and the moisture fell into the Yawning Gap, sparking life in the form of Imir, the giant. Only then could the creation of the world begin.
The Krachi people of Togo in West Africa speak of another giant, the vast blue god Wulbari, more familiar to us as the sky. There was a time when he lay just above the Earth, but a woman pounding grain with a long timber kept prodding and poking him until he raised himself above the nuisance. However, Wulbari was still within reach of humans, who used his belly as a towel and snatched bits of his blue body to add spice to their soup. Gradually, Wulbari moved higher and higher until the blue sky was out of reach, where it has remained ever since.
For the Yoruba, also of West Africa, Olorun was Owner of the Sky. When he looked down upon the lifeless marsh, he asked another divine being to take a snail shell down to the primeval Earth. The shell contained a pigeon, a hen and a tiny amount of soil. The soil was sprinkled on the marshes of the Earth, whereupon the hen and pigeon began scratching and picking at it, until the marsh became solid ground. To test the world, Olorun sent down the Chameleon, which turned from blue to brown as it moved from sky to land, signalling that the hen and pigeon had completed their task successfully.
Throughout the world, every culture has developed its own myths about the origin of the universe and how it was shaped. These creation myths differ magnificently, each reflecting the environment and society from which it originated. In Iceland, it is the volcanic and meteorological forces that form the backdrop to the birth of Imir, but according to the Yoruba of West Africa it is the familiar hen and pigeon that give rise to solid land. Nevertheless, all these unique creation myths have some features in common. Whether it is the big, blue, bruised Wulbari or the dying giant of China, these myths inevitably invoke at least one supernatural being to play a crucial role in explaining the creation of the universe. Also, every myth represents the absolute truth within its society. The word ‘myth’ is derived from the Greek word mythos, which can mean ‘story’, but also means ‘word’, in the sense of ‘the final word’. Indeed, anybody who dared to question these explanations would have laid themselves open to accusations of heresy.
Nothing much changed until the sixth century BC, when there was a sudden outbreak of tolerance among the intelligentsia. For the very first time, philosophers were free to abandon accepted mythological explanations of the universe and develop their own theories. For example, Anaximander of Miletus argued that the Sun was a hole in a fire-filled ring that encircled the Earth and revolved around it. Similarly, he believed that the Moon and stars were nothing more than holes in the firmament, revealing otherwise hidden fires. Alternatively, Xenophanes of Colophon believed that the Earth exuded combustible gases that accumulated at night until they reached a critical mass and ignited, thereby creating the Sun. Night fell again when the ball of gas had burned out, leaving behind just the few sparks that we call stars. He explained the Moon in a similar way, with gases developing and burning over a twenty-eight-day cycle.
The fact that Xenophanes and Anaximander were not very close to the truth is unimportant, because the real point is that they were developing theories that explained the natural world without resorting to supernatural devices or deities. Theories that say that the Sun is a celestial fire seen through a hole in the firmament or a ball of burning gas are qualitatively different from the Greek myth that explained the Sun by invoking a fiery chariot driven across the sky by the god Helios. This is not to say that the new wave of philosophers necessarily wanted to deny the existence of the gods, rather that they merely refused to believe that it was divine meddling that was responsible for natural phenomena.
These philosophers were the first cosmologists, inasmuch as they were interested in the scientific study of the physical universe and its origins. The word ‘cosmology’ is derived from the ancient Greek word kosmeo, which means ‘to order’ or ‘to organise’, reflecting the belief that the universe could be understood and is worthy of analytical study. The cosmos had patterns, and it was the ambition of the Greeks to recognise these patterns, to scrutinise them and to understand what was behind them.
It would be a great exaggeration to call Xenophanes and Anaximander scientists in the modern sense of the term, and it would flatter them to consider their ideas as full-blown scientific theories. Nevertheless, they were certainly contributing to the birth of scientific thinking, and their ethos had much in common with modern science. For example, just like ideas in modern science, the ideas of the Greek cosmologists could be criticised and compared, refined or abandoned. The Greeks loved a good argument, so a community of philosophers would examine theories, question the reasoning behind them and ultimately choose which was the most convincing. In contrast, individuals in many other cultures would not dare to question their own mythology. Each mythology was an article of faith within its own society.
Pythagoras of Samos helped to reinforce the foundations of this new rationalist movement from around 540 BC. As part of his philosophy, he developed a passion for mathematics and demonstrated how numbers and equations could be used to help formulate scientific theories. One of his first breakthroughs was to explain the harmony of music via the harmony of numbers. The most important instrument in early Hellenic music was the tetrachord, or four-stringed lyre, but Pythagoras developed his theory by experimenting with the single-stringed monochord. The string was kept under a fixed tension, but the length of the string could be altered. Plucking a particular length of string generated a particular note, and Pythagoras realised that halving the length of the same string created a note that was one octave higher and in harmony with the note from the plucking of the original string. In fact, changing the string’s length by any simple fraction or ratio would create a note harmonious with the first (e.g. a ratio of 3:2, now called a musical fifth), but changing the length by an awkward ratio (e.g. 15:37) would lead to a discord.
Once Pythagoras had shown that mathematics could be used to help explain and describe music, subsequent generations of scientists used numbers to explore everything from the trajectory of a cannonball to chaotic weather patterns. Wilhelm Röntgen, who discovered X-rays in 1895, was a firm believer in the Pythagorean philosophy of mathematical science, and once pointed out: ‘The physicist in preparing for his work needs three things: mathematics, mathematics and mathematics.’
Pythagoras’ own mantra was ‘Everything is number.’ Fuelled by this belief, he tried to find the mathematical rules that governed the heavenly bodies. He argued that the movement of the Sun, Moon and planets across the sky generated particular musical notes, which were determined by the lengths of their orbits. Therefore, Pythagoras concluded, these orbits and notes had to have specific numerical proportions for the universe to be in harmony. This became a popular theory in its time. We can re-examine it from a modern perspective and see how it stands up to the rigours of today’s scientific method. On the positive side, Pythagoras’ claim that the universe is filled with music does not rely on any supernatural force. Also, the theory is rather simple and quite elegant, two qualities that are highly valued in science. In general, a theory founded on a single short, beautiful equation is preferred to a theory that relies on several awkward, ugly equations qualified by lots of complicated and spurious caveats. As the physicist Berndt Matthias put it: ‘If you see a formula in the Physical Review that extends over a quarter of a page, forget it. It’s wrong. Nature isn’t that complicated.’ However, simplicity and elegance are secondary to the most important feature of any scientific theory, which is that it must match reality and it must be open to testing, and this is where the theory of celestial music fails completely. According to Pythagoras, we are constantly bathed in his hypothetical heavenly music, but we cannot perceive it because we have been hearing it since birth and have become habituated to it. Ultimately, any theory that predicts a music that could never be heard, or anything else that could never be detected, is a poor scientific theory.
Every genuine scientific theory must make a prediction about the universe that can be observed or measured. If the results of an experiment or observation match the theoretical prediction, this is a good reason why the theory might become accepted and then incorporated into the grander scientific framework. On the other hand, if the theoretical prediction is inaccurate and conflicts with an experiment or observation, then the theory must be rejected, or at least adapted, regardless of how well the theory does in terms of beauty or simplicity. It is the supreme challenge, and a brutal one, but every scientific theory must be testable and compatible with reality. The nineteenth-century naturalist Thomas Huxley stated it thus: ‘The great tragedy of Science — the slaying of a beautiful hypothesis by an ugly fact.’
Fortunately, Pythagoras’ successors built on his ideas and improved on his methodology. Science gradually became an increasingly sophisticated and powerful discipline, capable of staggering achievements such as measuring the actual diameters of the Sun, Moon and Earth, and the distances between them. These measurements were milestones in the history of astronomy, representing as they do the first tentative steps on the road to understanding the entire universe. As such, these measurements deserve to be described in a little detail.
Before any celestial distances or sizes could be calculated, the ancient Greeks first had to establish that the Earth is a sphere. This view gained acceptance in ancient Greece as philosophers became familiar with the notion that ships gradually disappear over the horizon until only the tip of the mast could be seen. This made sense only if the surface of the sea curves and falls away. If the sea has a curved surface, then presumably so too does the Earth, which means it is probably a sphere. This view was reinforced by observing lunar eclipses, when the Earth casts a disc-shaped shadow upon the Moon, exactly the shape you would expect from a spherical object. Of equal significance was the fact that everyone could see that the Moon itself was round, suggesting that the sphere was the natural state of being, adding even more ammunition to the round Earth hypothesis. Everything began to make sense, including the writings of the Greek historian and traveller Herodotus, who told of people in the far north who slept for half the year. If the Earth was spherical, then different parts of the globe would be illuminated in different ways according to their latitude, which naturally gave rise to a polar winter and nights that lasted for six months.
But a spherical Earth raised a question that still bothers children today — what stops people in the southern hemisphere from falling off? The Greek solution to this puzzle was based on the belief that the universe had a centre and that everything was attracted to this centre. The centre of the Earth supposedly coincided with the hypothetical universal centre, so the Earth itself was static and everything on its surface was pulled towards the centre. Hence, the Greeks would be held on the ground by this force, as would everybody else on the globe, even if they lived down under.
The feat of measuring the size of the Earth was first accomplished by Eratosthenes, born in about 276 BC in Cyrene, in modern-day Libya. Even when he was a little boy it was clear that Eratosthenes had a brilliant mind, one that he could turn to any discipline, from poetry to geography. He was even nicknamed Pentathlos, meaning an athlete who participates in the five events of the pentathlon, hinting at the breadth of his talents. Eratosthenes spent many years as the chief librarian at Alexandria, arguably the most prestigious academic post in the ancient world. Cosmopolitan Alexandria had taken over from Athens as the intellectual hub of the Mediterranean, and the city’s library was the most respected institution of learning in the world. Forget any notion of strait-laced librarians stamping books and whispering to each other, because this was a vibrant and exciting place, full of inspiring scholars and dazzling students.
While at the library, Eratosthenes learned of a well with remarkable properties, situated near the town of Syene in southern Egypt, near modern-day Aswan. At noon on 21 June each year, the day of the summer solstice, the Sun shone directly into the well and illuminated it all the way to the bottom. Eratosthenes realised that on that particular day the Sun must be directly overhead, something that never happened in Alexandria, which was several hundred kilometres north of Syene. Today we know that Syene lies close to the Tropic of Cancer, the most northerly latitude from which the Sun can appear overhead.
Aware that the Earth’s curvature was the reason why the Sun could not be overhead at both Syene and Alexandria simultaneously, Eratosthenes wondered if he could exploit this to measure the circumference of the Earth. He would not necessarily have thought about the problem in the same way we would, as his interpretation of geometry and his notation would have been different, but here is a modern explanation of his approach. Figure 1 shows how parallel rays of light from the Sun hit the Earth at noon on 21 June. At exactly the same moment that sunlight was plunging straight down the well at Syene, Eratosthenes stuck a stick vertically in the ground at Alexandria and measured the angle between the Sun’s rays and the stick. Crucially, this angle is equivalent to the angle between two radial lines drawn from Alexandria and Syene to the centre of the Earth. He measured the angle to be 7.2°.
Figure 1 Eratosthenes used the shadow cast by a stick at Alexandria to calculate the circumference of the Earth. He conducted the experiment at the summer solstice, when the Earth was at its maximum tilt and when towns lying along the Tropic of Cancer were closest to the Sun. This meant that the Sun was directly overhead at noon at those towns. For reasons of clarity, the distances in this and other diagrams are not drawn to scale. Similarly, angles may be exaggerated.
Next, imagine somebody at Syene who decides to walk in a straight line towards Alexandria, and who carries on walking until they circumnavigate the globe and return to Syene. This person would go right round the Earth, traversing a complete circle and covering 360°. So, if the angle between Syene and Alexandria is only 7.2°, then the distance between Syene and Alexandria represents 7.2/360, or 1/50 of the Earth’s circumference. The rest of the calculation is straightforward. Eratosthenes measured the distance between the two towns, which turned out to be 5,000 stades. If this represents 1/50 of the total circumference of the Earth, then the total circumference must be 250,000 stades.
But you might well be wondering, how far is 250,000 stades? One stade was a standard distance over which races were held. The Olympic stade was 185 metres, so the estimate for the circumference of the Earth would be 46,250 km, which is only 15% bigger than the actual value of 40,100 km. In fact, Eratosthenes may have been even more accurate. The Egyptian stade differed from the Olympic stade and was equal to just 157 metres, which gives a circumference of 39,250 km, accurate to 2%.
Whether he was accurate to 2% or 15% is irrelevant. The important point is that Eratosthenes had worked out how to reckon the size of the Earth scientifically. Any inaccuracy was merely the result of poor angular measurement, an error in the Syene—Alexandria distance, the timing of noon on the solstice, and the fact that Alexandria was not quite due north of Syene. Before Eratosthenes, nobody knew if the circumference was 4,000 km or 4,000,000,000 km, so nailing it down to roughly 40,000 km was a huge achievement. It proved that all that was required to measure the planet was a man with a stick and a brain. In other words, couple an intellect with some experimental apparatus and almost anything seems achievable.
It was now possible for Eratosthenes to deduce the size of the Moon and the Sun, and their distances from the Earth. Much of the groundwork had already been laid by earlier natural philosophers, but their calculations were incomplete until the size of the Earth had been established, and now Eratosthenes had the missing value. For example, by comparing the size of the Earth’s shadow cast upon the Moon during a lunar eclipse, as shown in Figure 2, it was possible to deduce that the Moon’s diameter was about one-quarter of the Earth’s. Once Eratosthenes had shown that the Earth’s circumference was 40,000 km, then its diameter was roughly (40,000 ÷ π) km, which is roughly 12,700 km. Therefore the Moon’s diameter was (1/4 × 12,700) km, or nearly 3,200 km.
Figure 2 The relative sizes of the Earth and the Moon can be estimated by observing the Moon’s passage through the Earth’s shadow during a lunar eclipse. The Earth and Moon are very far from the Sun compared with the distance from the Earth to the Moon, so the size of the Earth’s shadow is much the same as the size of the Earth itself.
The diagram shows the Moon passing through the Earth’s shadow. In this particular eclipse – when the Moon passes roughly through the centre of the Earth s shadow – it takes 50 minutes for the Moon to go from touching the shadow to being fully covered, so 50 minutes is an indication of the Moon’s own diameter. The time required for the front of the Moon to cross the entire Earth’s shadow is 200 minutes, which is an indication of the Earth’s diameter. The Earth’s diameter is therefore roughly four times the Moon’s diameter.
It was then easy for Eratosthenes to estimate the distance to the Moon. One way would have been to stare up at the full Moon, close one eye and stretch out your arm. If you try this you will notice that you can cover the Moon with the end of your forefinger. Figure 3 shows that your fingernail forms a triangle with your eye. The Moon forms a similar triangle, with a vastly greater size but identical proportions. The ratio between the length of your arm and the height of your fingernail, which is about 100:1, must be the same as the ratio between the distance to the Moon and the Moon’s own diameter. This means that the distance to the Moon must be roughly 100 times greater than its diameter, which gives a distance of 320,000 km.
Next, thanks to a hypothesis by Anaxagoras of Clazomenae and a clever argument by Aristarchus of Samos, it was possible for Eratosthenes to calculate the size of the Sun and how far away it was. Anaxagoras was a radical thinker in the fifth century BC who deemed the purpose of life to be ‘the investigation of the Sun, the Moon and the heavens’. He believed that the Sun was a white-hot stone and not a divinity, and similarly he believed that the stars were also hot stones, but too far away to warm the Earth. In contrast, the Moon was supposed to be a cold stone that did not emit light, and Anaxagoras argued that moonshine was nothing more than reflected sunlight. Despite the increasingly tolerant intellectual climate in Athens, where Anaxagoras lived, it was still controversial to claim that the Sun and Moon were rocks and not gods, so much so that jealous rivals accused Anaxagoras of heresy and organised a campaign that resulted in his exile to Lampsacus, in Asia Minor. The Athenians had a penchant for adorning their city with idols, which is why in 1638 Bishop John Wilkins pointed out the irony of a man who turned gods into stones being persecuted by people who turned stones into gods.