Kitabı oku: «Suvorov & business. Timeless Lessons from the Russian Master Strategist»
Translator Irina Nikitina
Illustrator Ivan Kremenetsky
Project manager Alexey Perevedentsev
© Yury Yavorsky, 2024
ISBN 978-5-4490-6839-2
Created with Ridero smart publishing system
First published in 2018.All rights reserved. No part of the electronic version of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any means, including posting on the internet and in corporate networks, for private and public use without the written permission of the copyright owner.
Here lies the wisdom of centuries old,
Here flows the firmness of valiant hearts,
Here saves, with deep devotion, father
All that he wishes for his son!
Alexander Suvorov
PART ONE. ACT OUTSIDE THE BOX!
Preface
Alexander Suvorov, Russian military general, is known to have spoken seven languages, including Turkish and Finnish. He was an expert in military history, a brilliant mathematician, and never lost a single battle.
The wisdom of this distinguished strategist and tactician of military art finds practical applications in any business. Suvorov’s strategy is the key to success.
Some of the famous general’s ideas will be considered in this book through the prism of the business environment. I hope that entrepreneurs will appreciate the parallels drawn and will learn many useful lessons from Suvorov’s covenants.
– Yury Yavorsky
Alexander Suvorov:
In none of your actions whatsoever shall you plainly reveal your ambitions:
– charge at a bear with a heavy hunting spear
– never flush out a wolf without back-up
– where determined to prevail by expending minimal resources, set a baited snare or arrange a trap
Here is my take on these instructions: an entrepreneur should be very particular about disguising their plans and the tactical scheme of future business moves aimed at conquering the market. Also required is a clear perspective on the size, capabilities, and behavior of adversaries. A completely different course of action is necessary for each of your competitors: some you would charge head on with a spear; with others you would choose to elegantly outmaneuver them.
Over my twenty-five years in business, there have been many cases in which I had to deploy a whole range of methods when bringing a new product or service on the market.
Do never flush a wolf with no surround ready
I have learned for a fact that the ways of an entrepreneur should be akin to the ways of a hunter who is out in the dark in the vast expanse of a wood or mountains. He never knows what the “beast” competitor has been plotting,
Charge at a bear with a heavy hunting spear
or what surprises lie there in the “thicket” of the market, or whether the vision of the “hunting” entrepreneur will “feed” him, his family, and his team, or whether he will be able to get enough “meat” to last him until the next fortunate “bag of game”.
…In the 1990s, my company manufactured dashboards for passenger vehicles. Browsing car spares at a marketplace, I stumbled on a seller who had assembled dashboards complete with a full set of instruments on offer, including the wiring for all requisite connections to other car parts. Then I wondered how many elements a dashboard contained. The answer was just over a hundred. The next step was to get quotes for all those component parts individually. (That was a time when vendors sold spares in the open, literally in a field, laying out their merchandise straight on the ground or on small tables; quite similar to what one sees at flea markets today). When I added up all the prices, the grand total came to 400 rubles – no higher – whereas a complete dashboard sold for 800 rubles. I procured all the components, assembled a dashboard at home, and sold it having doubled my capital. It would appear to be the ultimate success story. However, I came to realize that everybody was doing just the same: that marketplace had four other crews. So I decided to use the principles of supply chain management and barter economy, or take a “holistic approach”, as they might call it today.
I found out that dashboard clocks were supplied from Minsk (1,300 km away), speed meters came from Vladimir (200 km away), and so on. In short, all the components had to be shipped from other cities. There was no local production in Nizhny Novgorod. Having asked around at various factories, I saw I could “trim the fat” off the dashboard cost down to 200 rubles. Then, at the marketplace, I offered vendors who carried speedometers to swap two for one clock; I got those clocks by going to Minsk myself. I arranged with other sellers to exchange plastic parts that I bought in a town near Nizhny Novgorod for rubber parts, which some sold by weight, not by piece. My partners were able to expand their product range with no additional investment, and I was able to drive the dashboard cost down.
Baited snare
Trap with a decoy
At a cost of 100 rubles, I started selling the dashboards for 400 rubles at new sales outlets that bore no relation to me at all.
This made all four of my competitors cease assembly operations. I understood that they would need two to three months to regroup and resume dashboard production. I decided to go with the four-hundred-ruble offer for a bit longer, and simultaneously limit supply to one or two units a day, forcing sellers to take pre-orders and create lines – what people today might call “generating deferred demand”. After a month, I started raising the price by 100 rubles every week. Even with a 1,200-ruble quote, I was getting a few months’ worth of pre-orders.
My competitors never saw what was coming though. They were simply happy that dashboards were selling for RUB 1,200, resumed their make-shift assembly operations, and set similar prices. Today these recollections cannot but make me smile. After a while, I played out the very same formula again, and the competition allowed me, again, to establish a temporary monopoly for a couple of months. The profits that an entrepreneur makes within this short period can be several times higher than regular profits for one or even two years.
I am always in control of production costs at my workshops. This applies to each and every item, be it a small component, like a run-flat tire insert that we sell to a partner, or a finished vehicle. And I always try to work out the costs of my potential rivals.
I once got involved in a tender with a competitor. At that time, my company already had its own production facilities and manufactured thousands of components and parts; our competitor, on the other hand, was basically buying components from suppliers.
It was quite easy to calculate that his cars, which would be competing against our vehicles, cost RUB 2.8 million each to produce. Unfortunately, the bids in that tender were not evaluated on product quality, brand history, or prior successful contracts. It was all about the price. And it all came down to two principal objectives: not to sell below our usual price, or we would have to stick to that price going forward; but also to outsmart the competitor. I had to begrudgingly lower the bar and strip the vehicle of one-of-the-kind, patented options that only our company could offer. That made it possible to bring the cost all the way down to RUB 2.1 million.
The tender opened at RUB 3.8 million, the price gradually slipping down and sometimes stalling, so far as was reasonable for internet bidding. Our bids were lightning fast to show that we did not hesitate to drop the price; our competitor was faltering, each new bid taking longer. The longest halt came at RUB 3.1 million. We bid down once again and at RUB 2.9 million, the tender was ours.
During another tender, for low-margin cash-in-transit (CIT) vans I was able to do exactly the opposite. It was clear that the two other participants would fight to the bitter end; after all, the prize was an order for CIT vehicles for a major Russian bank. A contract like this can easily mean full production capacity for 5—6 months even for a heavyweight.
In my operation, however, I have always valued profit margins over production output. To digress for a moment, I see that many start a business with a totally inexplicable vision in mind. For example, one of my competitors ran a company with profits lower than his employees’ pay and firmly maintained that the ultimate goal of business was to provide jobs and that he would never sack anybody. His business run was short: he had to dismiss everybody and leave the market.
Back to the tender now, we did apply along with the others. I knew my production costs to the penny and had a rough idea of my competitors’ costs. Our companies differed in size. I employed three times as many staff, relied on own production, had laser cutting systems and CNC machines. We manufactured thousands of components in-house. The competitors preferred to buy from various suppliers, which chipped away at potential profits and added to costs. With an average CIT van going for RUB 700,000—800,000, their production costs stood at RUB 550,000. Our cost was just under RUB 460,000.
The tender opened at RUB 770,000 and quickly reached RUB 670,000. We were silently biding our time. The downward trend started to slow down and halted at RUB 580,000. This would seem to be as low as it would go… We bid at RUB 570,000. Time passed. I was getting anxious: had I miscalculated? The thing was I did not want that contract.
The tender was seconds from closing when a RUB 560,000 bid came in and I was off the hook – it worked! I was able to ensnare a competitor into a low-margin contract that would not be profitable and, most importantly, close him off the market. This was a long-term victory.
But that was not the end of the story. The winning bidder pleaded with the bank to top up the price by at least 10%. Failing to get that, he turned to his competitor asking for help to make good on the contract. The bank agreed to have two suppliers. At the end of the day, my two competitors first wrestled, plummeting the price to barely top the cost, and then ended up together in the low-margin segment where they ran down their production facilities and wasted time. And I used that time to conquer the VIP segment.
To this day, RIDA-branded vehicles from Russia are known for their quality build and protection on a par with global big-league brands, such as GARD in Germany or CARAT in Belgium; RIDA cars sell in dozens of countries in the Middle East, Asia, Europe, and Africa.
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